Robert John Zagar PhD MPH and James Garbarino PhD<\/span><\/p>\n Homicide, suicide or mass murder, are two sides of a coin. Violence is either directed at others or at oneself. So how do we find violence?<\/span><\/p>\n Background checks miss violence 75% of the time. For interviews and judgment the figure is 54%, unstructured physical and psychiatric, 51%, and conventional ways combined miss 61% of violence. How can When the current approaches are summed into an average, the combined approach is less than any one single approach. One would be better off tossing a coin than using these conventional ways. Yet 95% of the professionals persist in \u201cdoing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.\u201d Einstein defined this as insanity.<\/span><\/p>\n This fixation with ineffective approaches is costly.\u00a0 In the United States, work productivity losses due to violence range from $1,000,000 \u2013 $5,000,000 per victim, whether it\u2019s homicide, suicide or mass murder.<\/span><\/p>\n Also, violence is tied up with mental illness, substance abuse and deceptive self-presentation; 20% of homicidal have psychiatric disorders; 90% of suicidal have severe mental illness; and 59% of mass murderers have mental illness. Most people attempt to cloak or to hide the true nature of their dangerous thoughts and feelings. This leads to deception in presenting oneself to others.<\/span><\/p>\n So how does one find someone at-risk for violence? How does one divert someone at-risk for violence? What does unidentified and treated violence cost? And, why is all of this important to you?<\/span><\/p>\n When one wishes to find out whether you have diabetes, the physician orders a blood test to have the serum glucose level. If you have hypertension, one measures blood pressure. So why should we not employ the same strategy with violence, and co-occurring mental illness, substance abuse and deception? The easiest, most convenient, sensitive and specific method to determine these is with internet based tests.<\/span><\/p>\n Predictive algorithms using internet tests are actually no different than bankers using financial equations to predict the return on the investment of money. However, unlike the conventional approaches that continue to dominate the field, internet-based tests shield the analysis from bias introduced by knowing the age, appearance, education, ethnicity, gender, race, religion, or socioeconomic status (SES) of the person being examined. A lawyer cannot cross examine a computer algorithm about the decision-making test report that is generated with internet-based computer.<\/span><\/p>\n Furthermore, a computer equation is consistent with policies and laws that prohibit discrimination and forbid subjectivity. Internet-based tests are consonant with the objective application of the evidence-based, peer-reviewed, scientific facts. While current ways miss 61% of those at-risk for violence, the Standard Predictor equation to find violence that is built into the internet tests has at hit rate of 97%. \u00a0\u00a0The Standard Predictor equation is a set of descriptors that predict whether someone has the potential for abuse and violence.\u00a0 How does one divert someone at-risk for violence? Researchers have demonstrated that there are three ways to divert someone at-risk for violence are jobs, anger management and mentors. \u00a0Jobs divert a person at-risk for violence 37% of the time, while anger management accounts for an additional 25% of the variance, and mentoring another 25%, totaling the three results in 87% of the variance. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n From 2009-2015, a Chicago field test used the Standard Predictor equation to find teens most at-risk for violence, and then applied these three preventive diversions. The result was 324 fewer homicides in the experimental group, saving $2,089,848,548 (with a return on investment of $6.42 for every dollar spent). By the way, when the current, popularly used, random assignment of evidence based diversions were used instead of targeting the most at-risk for violence, the return on investment was $0.57 or a loss of $0.43 for every dollar spent.<\/span><\/p>\n So the lesson to be learned is not only using the Standard Predictor equation to \u201ctarget\u201d the most at-risk for violence, but also applying the best evidence-based diversions to the most at-risk, and not giving the jobs, mentors and anger management to those in need.<\/span><\/p>\n How does internet testing and diversions from violence work in the real world of practice? Whether in an emergency room, psychiatric clinic, human resource or employee assistance program, court or jail intake, or a private office, one has to begin with a convenient, inexpensive, sensitive and specific internet test. Tests are objective and nondiscriminatory and help to find out what is the challenge.<\/span><\/p>\n Is it violence? What kind of violence is it? Is mental illness involved? Which mental illness? Is substance abuse also present? Which substance abuse? Is the person deceptive? What kind of deception? Everyone lies, so how deceptive is this<\/em> person?<\/span><\/p>\n Only when these questions are answered in a reliable and a valid way with a sensitive and specific tool, can one then address the next challenge or issue at hand and begin the diversion from violence.<\/span><\/p>\n Another important issue is stress. There are three kinds of stress. Type I stress is a single incident like an accident, witnessing a murder, or some other one-time event. Type II stress is multiple occurrences. This might be domestic violence or parental or caretaker physical or sexual abuse, workplace harassment, persistent cyberbullying, or some kind of series of stressors over time. Type III stress is many events before the age of four and clearly antecedent to the development of the human brain\u2019s capacity to accommodate to stress. This kind of stress often results in dissociative disorders, extreme mental confusion, memory failure to recall the stress, serious mental illness, and other symptoms co-occurring with violence.<\/span><\/p>\n When one knows whether there is violence prone behavior present, mental illness, substance abuse, deception, and the type of stress the person has, then one can begin to plan the evidence based diversion.<\/span><\/p>\n So let\u2019s look at some examples of violence and how internet tests can help focus the treatment on the specific challenge or issue. A depressed commercial pilot crashes a planeload of passengers and crew. In this case the airline human resource department (as part of the annual physical exam) can employ internet tests to determine if the pilot has issues and then treat the depression with medication, monitoring medication compliance and adding cognitive behavior therapy to change the thinking of the pilot before a costly liability.<\/span><\/p>\n Newly released from jail, a deranged person goes on a killing spree. Had the jail employed internet tests, the psychiatrist would have a diagnosis, the most effective medication, and the evidence based treatments to prevent a tragedy before discharge. Next there is coordination of post-prison services and transition to the community.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n With constant battlefield nightmares, a veteran suffering from post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) drives a pickup truck into an oak tree. With internet-based tests that incorporates the Standard Predictor equation, the commander could know before intake and basic training, if the potential service person has the capacity to serve in the military.\u00a0 Post battlefield, the commander could use internet tests to identify those suffering from stress and order them to see the medical unit staff, receive medication and a 2-3 week leave to allow the person to regroup.\u00a0 At discharge the commander could use internet tests to coordinate the transition to civilian life. Thus internet tests would help lower the 3 daily military and 22 daily suicides among U.S. military veterans.<\/span><\/p>\n A young man kills another while high on drugs. Convicted of homicide he spends decades in jail. Because of the senior author\u2019s book, the U.S. Supreme Court decides in Miller v Alabama, Graham v Florida<\/em> that it\u2019s unconstitutional to sentence for life without parole a juvenile whose brain was not fully developed to allow rationale decision making. So after taking the internet tests, the imprisoned male without mental illness or substance abuse and at low risk for violence, it eventually released to a transition program.<\/span><\/p>\n Using internet-based tests that incorporate the Standard Predictor equation can provide the data needed to use the data needed to apply diversions that are cost beneficial and cost effective. The good news is that one can predict and prevent violence, mental illness and substance abuse, and in doing so will make our communities safer now and for future generations. As already mentioned US violence costs millions of dollars in lost work productivity per victim. Why is violence important to the reader? Violence can occur at any time and in any place and to any person. The reader might be the next victim.<\/span><\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n Site Editor:\u00a0 Gary S. Aumiller, Ph.D. ABPP<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n Please share this article from down below.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n Please join the email list on the top of the sidebar and you can get these sent to your email.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n Come back regularly for more updated articles on police psychology<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n Save<\/span><\/p>\n Save<\/span><\/p>\n Save<\/span><\/p>\n Save<\/span><\/p>\n Save<\/span><\/p>\n<\/body>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Police Psychology | How Do We Find and Divert Violence Before It Happens? Robert John Zagar PhD MPH and James Garbarino PhD Homicide, suicide or mass murder, are two sides of a coin. Violence is either directed at others or at oneself. So how do we find violence? Background checks miss violence 75% of the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[17168877],"tags":[17168868,17168831,17168916],"class_list":["post-3045","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tests","tag-police-pscyhology","tag-police-stress","tag-violence"],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":7132,"url":"http:\/\/policepsychologyblog.com\/?p=7132","url_meta":{"origin":3045,"position":0},"title":"Police Psychology Book Review: Towards the integration of police psychology techniques to combat juvenile delinquency in K-12 classrooms","author":"Gary Aumiller","date":"December 19, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Police Psychology Book Review:\u00a0 Rose, Gary. (2013) Towards the integration of police psychology techniques to combat juvenile delinquency in K-12 classrooms by Paul Cech \u00a0 Gary Rose revised his doctoral dissertation to create a book that will be of special interest to readers who are peace officers; teachers; police, school,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Books"","block_context":{"text":"Books","link":"http:\/\/policepsychologyblog.com\/?cat=17168876"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":684,"url":"http:\/\/policepsychologyblog.com\/?p=684","url_meta":{"origin":3045,"position":1},"title":"Police Psychology | The War on Police: “Officer-Directed Violence”","author":"Gary Aumiller","date":"September 8, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Police Psychology | The War on Police: \u201cOfficer-Directed Violence\u201d Ron Martinelli, Ph.D., CMI-V, BCFT, CFA Let\u2019s see a show of hands. Every one of you who recognize these names raise em up. Michael Brown? Freddie Grey? OK. Now how about Darren Goforth, Steven Vincent, Rafael Ramos and Wenjian Liu? No\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Public Information Bureau"","block_context":{"text":"Public Information Bureau","link":"http:\/\/policepsychologyblog.com\/?cat=17168888"},"img":{"alt_text":"Shannon Miles","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/policepsychologyblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/Shannon-Miles.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":877,"url":"http:\/\/policepsychologyblog.com\/?p=877","url_meta":{"origin":3045,"position":2},"title":"Police Psychology | Law Enforcement Spirituality Part 2","author":"Gary Aumiller","date":"December 10, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"In New York, as I am sure in many major cities, it is common to find many members of the departments who are Jewish.\u00a0 But isn't their faith antithetical to police work?\u00a0 My conservative Jewish Intern will explain.\u00a0 As we are traveling through the Hanukkah season we must not forget\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Other Tools"","block_context":{"text":"Other Tools","link":"http:\/\/policepsychologyblog.com\/?cat=17168889"},"img":{"alt_text":"Star of David, Police Psychology","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/policepsychologyblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Star_of_David-260x300.png?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":4245,"url":"http:\/\/policepsychologyblog.com\/?p=4245","url_meta":{"origin":3045,"position":3},"title":"Police Psychology | Divorce in Cops and Corrections","author":"Gary Aumiller","date":"October 4, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Police Psychology | Divorce in Cops and Corrections by Gary S. Aumiller, Ph.D.\u00a0 ABPP I just spent the past week at the Society for Police and Criminal Psychology meeting.\u00a0 I had been the first executive director of the group and was the president the year before that, so I (with\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Public Information Bureau"","block_context":{"text":"Public Information Bureau","link":"http:\/\/policepsychologyblog.com\/?cat=17168888"},"img":{"alt_text":"divorce","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/policepsychologyblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/divorce-164x300.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":3685,"url":"http:\/\/policepsychologyblog.com\/?p=3685","url_meta":{"origin":3045,"position":4},"title":"Police Psychology | It Isn\u2019t All About Islam","author":"Gary Aumiller","date":"August 4, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Police Psychology | It Isn\u2019t All About Islam by Geoff Dean, Ph.D. (Australia) and Gary S. Aumiller, Ph.D. \u00a0(U.S.A.) 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this be if background checks miss 75%, interviews miss only 54%, or exams 51%?<\/span><\/p>\n